John R. Stoll, Ph.D
Professor, Public & Environmental Affairs
University of Wisconsin, Green Bay
2420 Nicolet Drive, Rose Hall 324
Green Bay, WI 53411-7001
The
Rio Grande, born in the high Rockies in southwestern Colorado,
meanders over 1,800 miles across Colorado, New Mexico and Texas
before spreading into a grand delta along the Texas/Mexico border.
The Lower Rio Grande Valley (LRGV) is comprised of the four
Texas counties situated within this delta: Cameron, Hidalgo,
Starr, and Willacy. The biological communities that have evolved
within this delta (known collectively as Tamaulipan Brush) are
among the most diverse in North America north of Mexico.
For decades, scientists and amateur
naturalists have traveled to the LRGV to study and enjoy the
remarkable variety of birds, butterflies, mammals, reptiles,
and other wildlife that reside in this remarkable region. Only
in the past few years, however, has this nature-based travel
become recognized in the LRGV as an important economic force.
What originally developed ad hoc has now become a recognized
genre of tourism that offers remarkable potential for marrying
the economic and ecological interest of the LRGV into a collective
sustainable effort.
As part of an effort by the Texas
Parks and Wildlife Department to enhance nature tourism efforts
in the LRGV through the development of a major interpretive
center complex, Fermata Inc. conducted two surveys of wildlife
viewers (birders, more specifically) in Texas. Surveys were
mailed to two populations of wildlife watchers: travelers along
the GTCBT, and attendees at the 1998 RGVB Festival held in Harlingen,
Texas. This document reports the results of these two surveys.
As expected, those who attended
the RGVB Festival represented the most avid of wildlife watchers
the "hard core." By contrast, those who wandered
the GTCBT were less committed to the recreation, and were interested
in a broader range of resources. Of the GTCBT respondents, 27.7%
considered themselves to be "casual" birders, whereas
only 6.6% of the RGVB Festival attendees viewed themselves
as being casual observers (compared to 32.3% who considered
themselves to be "committed" birders.) GTCBT travelers
had invested $2,775 in equipment and supplies related
to their recreation, while RGVB Festival respondents had acquired
nearly $4,000 ($3,989.15) in similar optical equipment,
photographic paraphernalia, books and field guides. Finally,
whereas 24.3% of the GTCBT travelers considered birding
to be only one of many outdoor recreational activities they
considered important, only 8.4% of the RGVB Festival
respondents felt similarly (66.8% listed birding as their
most important outdoor recreational activity).
Although the trip destinations were
dissimilar (the GTCBT travelers were visiting the Texas coast
in general, while the RGVB Festival attendees were largely limited
in their wanderings to the LRGV), the trip characteristics are
useful in projecting daily expenditures related to future visitors
to the World Birding Center (WBC). Travelers on the GTCBT devoted
an average of 31.23 days per year to birding on the GTCBT.
Their most recent trip lasted 8.71 days and 7.55 nights,
and their travel-related expenditures totaled $981.99 per
person ($683.91 within the region, $197.90 within Texas
but out of the region, and an additional $100.19 out of state).
Therefore GTCBT travelers averaged expenditures of $78.52
per person, per day along the Texas coast (excluding those
expenditures made outside the region and therefore of no economic
benefit to the Texas coast). If annual trip expenditures were
consistent with recent visits (as described in these survey
responses), then each GTCBT traveler averaged $2,452.18 during
the past 12 months in direct expenditures along the GTCBT.
RGVB Festival attendees generally
spent more money during shorter trips to the survey region,
the LRGV. The festival respondents averaged 11.50 days per
year birding in the LRGV. Their most recent trip involved
6.47 days and 6.10 nights, and their travel-related
expenditures totaled $976.40 per person ($761.15 in
the LRGV, $142.36 elsewhere in Texas, and $72.89 out of Texas).
RGVB Festival respondents, therefore, spent $117.64 per person,
per day on their most recent trip within the LRGV. If previous
trip expenditures were consistent with their most recent visit
(as described in their survey responses), then RGVB Festival
attendees averaged $1,352.86 in direct expenditures within
the LRGV during the past 12 months.
However, visitors place value upon
their experiences beyond their direct expenditures. A strict
accounting of direct expenditures must be modified through an
estimate of consumers surplus to accurately capture the
actual economic value of tourism to an area (such as a birding
destination in the LRGV). For something to have economic value
it does not have to be bought and sold in markets. Therefore,
in addition to the direct expenditures associated with their
most recent trips, respondents were asked for an estimate of
how much more they would have been willing to pay before deferring
from taking the trip. In the case of the GTCBT, the additional
willingness to pay (highest trip cost increase) averaged $214.03.
In the case of the RGVB Festival, the additional willingness
to pay (highest trip cost increase) averaged $205.09.
So, while trip duration and average daily trip expense differed
significantly between surveys, the total trip expense and average
additional willingness to pay (also known as consumers
surplus) were virtually identical.
In addition, indirect and induced
effects expand the impacts of direct expenditures. This "multiplier"
varies from county to county, region to region, and is often
substantial. Based upon previous studies, the "multiplier"
for travel and tourism averages between 1.5 and 2.5. For example,
the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis in 1992 estimated a tourism
multiplier (food and lodging sectors) for Texas of 2.41. Scott
et al. (1996), in their study of the Rockport HummerBird
Festival, determined that the induced/indirect multiplier in
that region of the central Texas coast varied between 1.68 and
2.28. Eubanks et al. (1998) found a similar range (1.9-2.7)
of multipliers had been estimated for communities along the
Platte River in Nebraska. Walsh (1984) found that regional multipliers
typically averaged 2.0 and generally ranged between 1.5 and
2.5 in the United States. Therefore, we have chosen to adopt
Walshs multiplier of 2.0 as a reasonable compromise.
`
Using Walshs multiplier average
of 2.0, it is not unreasonable to expect that the induced and
indirect effects of these direct expenditures would expand the
economic impacts of these survey respondents (per person, per
trip) to $4,904.36 (GTCBT), and $2,705.72 (RGVB
Festival). This figure, known as the Total Gross Output (TGO),
when combined with consumers surplus, is known as the
Gross Economic Value (GEV). The GEV of the GTCBT, therefore,
is the combination of TGO ($4,904.36) and annual consumers
surplus ($767.41) for an annual GEV of $5,671.77.
The GEV of the RGVB Festival is the combination of TGO ($2,705.72)
and annual consumers surplus ($364.53) for an annual
GEV of $3,070.23 (Table 1).
Table 1: The Gross Economic Value
of Annual Trips to the Great Texas Birding Trail and the Rio
Grande Valley Birding Festival (per visitor)
|
Value
|
GTCBT
|
RGVB Festival
|
|
Total Gross Output (TGO)
|
$4,904.36
|
$2,705.72
|
|
Consumers Surplus
|
$ 767.41
|
$ 364.53
|
|
Gross Economic Value (GEV)
|
$5,671.77
|
$3,070.23
|
According to the Texas Department
of Economic Development (based upon 1997 data), on average every
$60,242 spent in Texas by tourists generated one job in Texas.
In addition, each travel dollar generated (on average) 3.9 cents
in state tax receipts, and 3.0 cents in local tax receipts.
Using these average figures, we can contemplate the economic
impact of a successful WBC system. Given these new survey data,
every 100 additional typical trips by GTCBT travelers
(which would generate $68,391 in direct expenditures within
the region) would generate 1.14 jobs, $2,667.25
in state tax receipts, and $2,051.73 in local
tax revenues. For RGVB Festival attendees, each 100 additional
trips ($76,115 in direct expenditures) would create 1.26
jobs, $2,968.49 in state tax receipts, and $2,283.45
in local tax revenues.
Yet are these wildlife viewers likely
to visit the WBC? Is it reasonable to expect such a facility
to attract these visitors, hold them in the LRGV for longer
periods of time, and to lure them back for repeat visits during
the year? In both surveys we asked a series of questions in
an attempt to determine this likelihood. Travelers along the
GTCBT stated that they were "Very Likely" (63.8%)
or "Likely" (23.1%) to visit the WBC and its satellites
during a trip to the LRGV. In addition, 66.7% stated that they
would make a special trip to the LRGV to visit the complex.
RGVB Festival attendees stated that they would be "Very
Likely" (76.4%) or "Likely" (17.9%) to visit
the WBC during a trip to the LRGV, and that 55.0% would make
a special trip to the LRGV to visit the complex. Only 10% (GTCBT)
and 3.1% (RGVB Festival) responded that they would be "Unlikely"
or "Very Unlikely" to visit the WBC.
On the subject of fees, both groups
expressed a willingness to pay to access the WBC and its satellites.
Of the GTCBT respondents, 82.6% stated that they were willing
to pay an average fee of $8.18. Of the RGVB Festival respondents,
90.2% stated that they were willing to pay an average of $12.63
to visit the WBC and its sites.
As for services the respondents
expected from the WBC, the message could not have been clearer.
Both groups desired "on-site birding opportunities,"
"current bird sighting information," and "travel
information about birding in the LRGV." Although "bird
and birding lectures, classes and/or programs," and "bird
and birding exhibits" were of importance, these educational
aspects of the WBC were secondary to those services these potential
visitors viewed as being critical to their recreation (birding)
and their trip to the LRGV.
As demonstrated by the data presented
above, traveling birders (avitourists) invest significant resources
(time and money) in their visit to regions where they can become
immersed in a new culture, historical tradition, and natural
history. Avitourists are experiential tourists, travelers for
whom authenticity is a critically important factor in judging
the value of a trip. The WBC will greatly enhance the potential
for growth in the nature tourism industry in the LRGV if the
complex and its programs are designed to bring the tourist into
intimate contact with nature in its more pure and unadulterated
form. In survey after survey of wildlife watchers conducted
by Fermata Inc., the invariable motivations that people indicate
for watching birds are "to enjoy the sights, smells, and
sounds of nature" and "to be outdoors." Avitourists
are not interested in multi-million dollar antiseptic wildlife
warehouses that divorce them from an intimate and authentic
experience with nature. The WBC should remember that the public
is best served by a facility that opens the door that ushers
them into a natural (rather than a virtual) world.
