John R. Stoll, Ph.D
Professor, Public & Environmental Affairs
University of Wisconsin, Green Bay
2420 Nicolet Drive, Rose Hall 324
Green Bay, WI 53411-7001
The
Rio Grande, born in the high Rockies in southwestern Colorado,
meanders over 1,800 miles across Colorado, New Mexico and
Texas before spreading into a grand delta along the Texas/Mexico
border. The Lower Rio Grande Valley (LRGV) is comprised of
the four Texas counties situated within this delta: Cameron,
Hidalgo, Starr, and Willacy. The biological communities that
have evolved within this delta (known collectively as Tamaulipan
Brush) are among the most diverse in North America north of
Mexico.
For decades, scientists and amateur
naturalists have traveled to the LRGV to study and enjoy the
remarkable variety of birds, butterflies, mammals, reptiles,
and other wildlife that reside in this remarkable region.
Only in the past few years, however, has this nature-based
travel become recognized in the LRGV as an important economic
force. What originally developed ad hoc has now become a recognized
genre of tourism that offers remarkable potential for marrying
the economic and ecological interest of the LRGV into a collective
sustainable effort.
As part of an effort by the Texas
Parks and Wildlife Department to enhance nature tourism efforts
in the LRGV through the development of a major interpretive
center complex, Fermata Inc. conducted two surveys of wildlife
viewers (birders, more specifically) in Texas. Surveys were
mailed to two populations of wildlife watchers: travelers
along the GTCBT, and attendees at the 1998 RGVB Festival held
in Harlingen, Texas. This document reports the results of
these two surveys.
As expected, those who attended
the RGVB Festival represented the most avid of wildlife watchers
the "hard core." By contrast, those who wandered
the GTCBT were less committed to the recreation, and were
interested in a broader range of resources. Of the GTCBT respondents,
27.7% considered themselves to be "casual"
birders, whereas only 6.6% of the RGVB Festival attendees
viewed themselves as being casual observers (compared to 32.3%
who considered themselves to be "committed" birders.)
GTCBT travelers had invested $2,775 in equipment and
supplies related to their recreation, while RGVB Festival
respondents had acquired nearly $4,000 ($3,989.15)
in similar optical equipment, photographic paraphernalia,
books and field guides. Finally, whereas 24.3% of the
GTCBT travelers considered birding to be only one of many
outdoor recreational activities they considered important,
only 8.4% of the RGVB Festival respondents felt similarly
(66.8% listed birding as their most important outdoor
recreational activity).
Although the trip destinations
were dissimilar (the GTCBT travelers were visiting the Texas
coast in general, while the RGVB Festival attendees were largely
limited in their wanderings to the LRGV), the trip characteristics
are useful in projecting daily expenditures related to future
visitors to the World Birding Center (WBC). Travelers on the
GTCBT devoted an average of 31.23 days per year to
birding on the GTCBT. Their most recent trip lasted 8.71
days and 7.55 nights, and their travel-related
expenditures totaled $981.99 per person ($683.91
within the region, $197.90 within Texas but out of the region,
and an additional $100.19 out of state). Therefore GTCBT
travelers averaged expenditures of $78.52 per person, per
day along the Texas coast (excluding those expenditures
made outside the region and therefore of no economic benefit
to the Texas coast). If annual trip expenditures were consistent
with recent visits (as described in these survey responses),
then each GTCBT traveler averaged $2,452.18 during
the past 12 months in direct expenditures along the GTCBT.
RGVB Festival attendees generally
spent more money during shorter trips to the survey region,
the LRGV. The festival respondents averaged 11.50 days
per year birding in the LRGV. Their most recent trip involved
6.47 days and 6.10 nights, and their travel-related
expenditures totaled $976.40 per person ($761.15
in the LRGV, $142.36 elsewhere in Texas, and $72.89 out of
Texas). RGVB Festival respondents, therefore, spent $117.64
per person, per day on their most recent trip within the
LRGV. If previous trip expenditures were consistent with their
most recent visit (as described in their survey responses),
then RGVB Festival attendees averaged $1,352.86 in
direct expenditures within the LRGV during the past 12 months.
However, visitors place value
upon their experiences beyond their direct expenditures. A
strict accounting of direct expenditures must be modified
through an estimate of consumers surplus to accurately
capture the actual economic value of tourism to an area (such
as a birding destination in the LRGV). For something to have
economic value it does not have to be bought and sold in markets.
Therefore, in addition to the direct expenditures associated
with their most recent trips, respondents were asked for an
estimate of how much more they would have been willing to
pay before deferring from taking the trip. In the case of
the GTCBT, the additional willingness to pay (highest trip
cost increase) averaged $214.03. In the case of the
RGVB Festival, the additional willingness to pay (highest
trip cost increase) averaged $205.09. So, while trip
duration and average daily trip expense differed significantly
between surveys, the total trip expense and average additional
willingness to pay (also known as consumers surplus)
were virtually identical.
In addition, indirect and induced
effects expand the impacts of direct expenditures. This "multiplier"
varies from county to county, region to region, and is often
substantial. Based upon previous studies, the "multiplier"
for travel and tourism averages between 1.5 and 2.5. For example,
the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis in 1992 estimated a tourism
multiplier (food and lodging sectors) for Texas of 2.41. Scott
et al. (1996), in their study of the Rockport HummerBird
Festival, determined that the induced/indirect multiplier
in that region of the central Texas coast varied between 1.68
and 2.28. Eubanks et al. (1998) found a similar range
(1.9-2.7) of multipliers had been estimated for communities
along the Platte River in Nebraska. Walsh (1984) found that
regional multipliers typically averaged 2.0 and generally
ranged between 1.5 and 2.5 in the United States. Therefore,
we have chosen to adopt Walshs multiplier of 2.0 as
a reasonable compromise.
`
Using Walshs multiplier
average of 2.0, it is not unreasonable to expect that the
induced and indirect effects of these direct expenditures
would expand the economic impacts of these survey respondents
(per person, per trip) to $4,904.36 (GTCBT), and $2,705.72
(RGVB Festival). This figure, known as the Total Gross Output
(TGO), when combined with consumers surplus, is known
as the Gross Economic Value (GEV). The GEV of the GTCBT, therefore,
is the combination of TGO ($4,904.36) and annual consumers
surplus ($767.41) for an annual GEV of $5,671.77.
The GEV of the RGVB Festival is the combination of TGO ($2,705.72)
and annual consumers surplus ($364.53) for an
annual GEV of $3,070.23 (Table 1).
Table 1: The Gross Economic
Value of Annual Trips to the Great Texas Birding Trail and
the Rio Grande Valley Birding Festival (per visitor)
|
Value
|
GTCBT
|
RGVB Festival
|
|
Total Gross Output (TGO)
|
$4,904.36
|
$2,705.72
|
|
Consumers Surplus
|
$ 767.41
|
$ 364.53
|
|
Gross Economic Value (GEV)
|
$5,671.77
|
$3,070.23
|
According to the Texas Department
of Economic Development (based upon 1997 data), on average
every $60,242 spent in Texas by tourists generated one job
in Texas. In addition, each travel dollar generated (on average)
3.9 cents in state tax receipts, and 3.0 cents in local tax
receipts. Using these average figures, we can contemplate
the economic impact of a successful WBC system. Given these
new survey data, every 100 additional typical trips
by GTCBT travelers (which would generate $68,391 in direct
expenditures within the region) would generate 1.14
jobs, $2,667.25 in state tax receipts, and $2,051.73
in local tax revenues. For RGVB Festival attendees, each 100
additional trips ($76,115 in direct expenditures)
would create 1.26 jobs, $2,968.49 in state tax
receipts, and $2,283.45 in local tax revenues.
Yet are these wildlife viewers
likely to visit the WBC? Is it reasonable to expect such a
facility to attract these visitors, hold them in the LRGV
for longer periods of time, and to lure them back for repeat
visits during the year? In both surveys we asked a series
of questions in an attempt to determine this likelihood. Travelers
along the GTCBT stated that they were "Very Likely"
(63.8%) or "Likely" (23.1%) to visit the WBC and
its satellites during a trip to the LRGV. In addition, 66.7%
stated that they would make a special trip to the LRGV to
visit the complex. RGVB Festival attendees stated that they
would be "Very Likely" (76.4%) or "Likely"
(17.9%) to visit the WBC during a trip to the LRGV, and that
55.0% would make a special trip to the LRGV to visit the complex.
Only 10% (GTCBT) and 3.1% (RGVB Festival) responded that they
would be "Unlikely" or "Very Unlikely"
to visit the WBC.
On the subject of fees, both groups
expressed a willingness to pay to access the WBC and its satellites.
Of the GTCBT respondents, 82.6% stated that they were willing
to pay an average fee of $8.18. Of the RGVB Festival respondents,
90.2% stated that they were willing to pay an average of $12.63
to visit the WBC and its sites.
As for services the respondents
expected from the WBC, the message could not have been clearer.
Both groups desired "on-site birding opportunities,"
"current bird sighting information," and "travel
information about birding in the LRGV." Although "bird
and birding lectures, classes and/or programs," and "bird
and birding exhibits" were of importance, these educational
aspects of the WBC were secondary to those services these
potential visitors viewed as being critical to their recreation
(birding) and their trip to the LRGV.
As demonstrated by the data presented
above, traveling birders (avitourists) invest significant
resources (time and money) in their visit to regions where
they can become immersed in a new culture, historical tradition,
and natural history. Avitourists are experiential tourists,
travelers for whom authenticity is a critically important
factor in judging the value of a trip. The WBC will greatly
enhance the potential for growth in the nature tourism industry
in the LRGV if the complex and its programs are designed to
bring the tourist into intimate contact with nature in its
more pure and unadulterated form. In survey after survey of
wildlife watchers conducted by Fermata Inc., the invariable
motivations that people indicate for watching birds are "to
enjoy the sights, smells, and sounds of nature" and "to
be outdoors." Avitourists are not interested in multi-million
dollar antiseptic wildlife warehouses that divorce them from
an intimate and authentic experience with nature. The WBC
should remember that the public is best served by a facility
that opens the door that ushers them into a natural (rather
than a virtual) world.
